It is always frustrating thinking about the future.

 

Whether in business, politics or just life, planning out a couple of years seems like a futile guessing game. But I would argue that we can foresee much more than we believe.

 

We definitively know the answers to a lot of seemingly simple questions about the future that when answered should guide the decisions we make today.

 

I call these thought experiments “more or less”.

 

With that…

 

In the next 2-3 years under a Trump administration…

 

Will America rely on diplomacy more or less?

Will America have more or less democratic allies?

Will America be more or less likely to respond forcefully to perceived slights?

Will the Pentagon have more or less sway over foreign policy?

Are wars now more or less likely?

Is a compulsory draft now more or less likely?

Is a nuclear confrontation now more or less likely?

 

Will the rich become more or less rich?

Will we have more or less income inequality?

Will regulators have more or less power?

Will corporations be more or less reckless?

Is an economic catastrophe now more or less likely? 

 

Will our environment get more or less attention?

Will renewable energy get more or less attention?

Will fossil fuels get more or less attention?

Are environmental disasters now more or less likely?

 

Will guns be more or less accessible?

Will guns be allowed into more or less places?

Will there be more or less gun violence?

With America now have more or less gun deaths?

 

Will more or less Americans have access to quality affordable healthcare?

Will mental health get more or less attention?

Will opioid abuse become more or less prevalent?

Will there be more or less suicides?

 

Will science be valued more or less?

Will technological advancement be valued more or less?

 

Will the 4th estate be more or less of a check on government overreach?

 

Will more or less Americans have access to an affordable college degree?

 

Will Americans in the minority be treated more or less fairly by our criminal justice system?

Will community policing be adopted by more or less Police departments?

Will there be more or less violent encounters?

Will there be more or less dead Police officers?

Will there be more or less dead suspects?

 

Will the NSA intrude more or less into our lives?

Will that information be used more or less responsibly?

 

Will women have more or less control over their bodies?

Will the government have more or less control over women’s bodies?

 

Will intellect be valued more or less?

Will honesty be value more or less?

Will truth be valued more or less?

Will respect be valued more or less?